Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 515.574299 548.175655 582.047109 619.924774 661.171811 704.805004 754.554832
2026-01-11 473.797479 518.633546 567.072107 623.501488 687.697764 758.767579 843.826740
2026-01-18 445.070985 497.024662 554.692253 623.838809 705.011853 797.917359 913.215469
2026-01-25 425.616349 483.204060 548.578235 628.891587 725.734744 839.818298 985.995763
2026-02-01 410.063482 472.194236 544.109217 634.353017 745.781799 880.485537 1058.177181
2026-02-08 397.482863 463.526118 541.310972 640.812328 766.364658 921.816377 1132.549031
2026-02-15 383.775137 452.497710 534.680632 641.606290 779.162290 953.191094 1195.061972
2026-02-22 371.493083 442.428216 528.445675 642.122088 791.014733 983.238585 1256.796336
2026-03-01 361.633360 434.772257 524.636897 645.178373 805.812929 1017.308494 1325.363324
2026-03-08 350.806271 425.331933 517.988092 643.956710 814.483936 1043.091692 1383.330789
2026-03-15 341.763494 417.722228 513.234161 644.779638 825.596271 1072.318273 1447.437183
2026-03-22 333.058760 410.150824 508.117332 644.697581 835.167584 1099.479601 1509.694330
2026-03-29 325.021909 403.171389 503.504701 645.057939 845.285797 1127.815340 1575.417312
2026-04-05 318.807846 398.327267 501.467302 648.724894 860.026680 1163.285764 1653.987813
2026-04-12 311.773844 392.107858 497.280947 649.094030 869.836306 1191.693304 1722.943871
2026-04-19 306.981013 388.699328 496.718921 654.420806 886.916061 1231.592232 1812.641869
2026-04-26 302.625747 385.702575 496.548818 660.181346 904.718344 1273.264759 1907.811626
2026-05-03 298.876050 383.378388 497.167423 666.995283 924.243054 1318.398932 2011.706807
2026-05-10 293.337801 378.391172 493.847276 667.832929 934.549158 1349.270844 2092.930515
2026-05-17 287.989237 373.494205 490.463530 668.377114 944.296985 1379.539976 2174.943700
2026-05-24 283.752140 370.016460 488.957496 671.601762 958.261277 1417.231368 2272.806300
2026-05-31 278.322418 364.690647 484.606864 670.312767 964.900880 1442.919917 2350.177859
2026-06-07 273.791399 360.511234 481.769793 671.181046 974.946851 1474.707329 2441.143110